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mpm-brand-voice-plugin/skills/guideline-generation/references/confidence-scoring.md
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# Confidence Scoring Methodology
How to assign and interpret confidence scores for generated brand guidelines.
## Scoring Levels
### High Confidence
The guideline section is well-supported and actionable.
**Criteria (must meet at least 3):**
- 3+ corroborating sources
- Explicit guidance found in at least one AUTHORITATIVE source
- Consistent across document and conversation analysis
- Specific, actionable instructions (not just vague principles)
- No unresolved conflicts
### Medium Confidence
The section is reasonable but could benefit from more data or team confirmation.
**Criteria (must meet at least 2):**
- 1-2 corroborating sources
- Inferred from patterns rather than explicit instruction
- Minor inconsistencies resolved via recency or authority
- Actionable but some interpretation was required
- May have one unresolved conflict
### Low Confidence
The section is a best-effort recommendation. Team review strongly recommended.
**Criteria (must meet at least 2):**
- Single source only
- Primarily inferred from indirect evidence
- Significant interpretation required
- Unresolved conflicts between sources
- Limited specificity
## Aggregate Confidence
Calculate overall guideline confidence as the weighted average of section scores:
| Section | Weight |
|---------|--------|
| Voice Attributes | 30% |
| Messaging Framework | 25% |
| Tone Matrix | 20% |
| Terminology | 15% |
| Language Patterns | 10% |
Convert scores: High = 1.0, Medium = 0.6, Low = 0.3
**Aggregate score thresholds:**
- 0.851.0 = High
- 0.600.84 = Medium
- Below 0.60 = Low
## Relationship to Open Questions
- **Low confidence + conflict** = High Priority open question
- **Low confidence + gap** = Medium Priority open question
- **Medium confidence + minor inconsistency** = Low Priority open question
Every open question includes a recommendation that, if confirmed, would raise the section's confidence score.